With the Golden Globes weighing in at this time with their decisions (and consider me, there have been some “decisions”), the Display Actors Guild awards are subsequent on the docket and have a stronger correlation to the Oscars.

A gaggle of two,500 randomly chosen SAG-AFTRA members vote for the coveted awards, typically leading to an eclectic group of nominees. In previous years, surprising inclusions like Sarah Silverman (“I Smile Again”), Emily Blunt (“The Lady on the Prepare”) and Peter Dinklage (“The Station Agent”) have shaken issues up. They’re additionally recognized for his or her huge omissions, like Clive Owen and Natalie Portman in “Nearer,” who each received Golden Globe awards for his or her performances in 2005.

Might “Mank” prepared the ground because it did with the Golden Globes? Will “The Trial of the Chicago 7” assert itself because the more than likely Oscar contender for Netflix? Can “Da 5 Bloods” and “One Evening in Miami” bounce again after the HFPA gave it the shaft? Can “Nomadland” put the Academy Awards to mattress with a formidable displaying together with the SAG ensemble class? All these questions may very well be left unanswered, since Oscar voting nonetheless doesn’t open till March 5.

Down under are the ultimate predictions for the SAG Awards.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY A CAST ENSEMBLE

  • Minari” (A24)
    CAST: Steven Yeun, Yeri Han, Yuh-Jung Youn, Alan S. Kim, Will Patton
  • Nomadland” (Searchlight Footage)
    CAST: Frances McDormand, David Strathairn, Swankie, Linda Could, Bob Wells
  • One Evening in Miami‘ (Amazon Studios)
    CAST: Kingsley Ben-Adir, Eli Goree, Aldis Hodge, Leslie Odom Jr
  • Sound of Metallic” (Amazon Studios)
    CAST: Riz Ahmed, Olivia Cooke, Paul Raci, Mathieu Amalric, Lauren Ridloff
  • The Trial of the Chicago 7” (Netflix)
    CAST: Yahya Abdul-Mateen II, Sacha Baron Cohen, Joseph Gordon-Levitt, Michael Keaton, Frank Langella, John Carroll Lynch, Eddie Redmayne, Mark Rylance, Alex Sharp, Jeremy Robust

ALTERNATES: “Ma Rainey’s Black Backside” (Netflix)

The equal to Oscars’ greatest image class, this class is without doubt one of the key gadgets wanted on the way in which to the Academy Awards. There are clearly some exceptions as “Braveheart,” “The Form of Water” and “Inexperienced Ebook” received with out it. That is additionally an effective way for movies like “Da 5 Bloods,” “Ma Rainey’s Black Backside” and “One Evening in Miami” to bounce again. The inclusion of “Nomadland” would solidify its power and placement because the frontrunner within the race as previous movies like “Slumdog Millionaire,” one other movie that had a “much less well-known” forged, did in earlier years. Amazon’s “Sound of Metallic” may very well be an emblem of power as effectively, like different previous shock entries “Dallas Patrons Membership” and “Bohemian Rhapsody,” however it’s at all times difficult to choose “that” contender out this early within the recreation.

There are additionally just a few movies with giant casts that may make the lineup equivalent to previous entries like “Bobby” and “August: Osage County.” Can “The Promenade” present its musical style with an sudden admission? “Promising Younger Lady” has quite a lot of movie/TV actors that might tickle their fancy, additional accelerating its greatest image/director standing. I additionally marvel if the voting committee has the chops to vote for Kelly Reichardt’s “First Cow,” emulating unanticipated entrances like “Beasts of No Nation?” Hopefully, they’ve the chops for “Minari,” as a result of the HFPA absolutely didn’t at this time.

Courtesy of SONY PICTURES CLASSICS / AMAZON STUDIOS / NETFLIX / A24

BEST PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE

  • Riz Ahmed, “Sound of Metallic” (Amazon Studios)
    ROLE: Ruben
  • Chadwick Boseman, “Ma Rainey’s Black Backside” (Netflix)
    ROLE: Levee
  • Anthony Hopkins, “The Father” (Sony Footage Classics)
    ROLE: Anthony
  • Delroy Lindo, “Da 5 Bloods” (Netflix)
    ROLE: Paul
  • Steven Yeun, “Minari” (A24)
    ROLE: Jacob

ALTERNATE: Tahar Rahim, “The Mauritanian” (STXfilms)

After huge misses on the Globes, that is the place for Delroy Lindo (“Da 5 Bloods”) and Steven Yeun (“Minari”) to reassert their positions in one of the best actor class. Gary Oldman (“Mank”) is somebody that actors extremely respect and will present up within the Christian Bale (“Ford v. Ferrari”) type of method. Riz Ahmed (“Sound of Metallic”), Chadwick Boseman (“Ma Rainey’s Black Backside”) and Anthony Hopkins (“The Father”) really feel safe for noms. Nonetheless, with Jodie Foster catching on in greatest supporting actress, it may very well be a packaged deal alongside Tahar Rahim (“The Mauritanian”). If it comes up on this house, be careful as a result of BAFTA is a gaggle that favors him extremely, and he may lock issues in for himself.

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BEST PERFORMANCE BY A FEMALE ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE

  • Andra Day, “America vs. Billie Vacation” (Hulu)
    ROLE: Billie Vacation
  • Nicole Beharie, “Miss Juneteenth” (Vertical Leisure)
    ROLE: Turquoise Jones
  • Viola Davis, “Ma Rainey’s Black Backside” (Netflix)
    ROLE: Ma Rainey
  • Frances McDormand, “Nomadland” (Searchlight Footage)
    ROLE: Fern
  • Carey Mulligan, “Promising Younger Lady” (Focus Options)
    ROLE: Cassandra “Cassie” Thomas

ALTERNATE: Vanessa Kirby, “Items of a Lady” (Netflix)

Curiously, one of the best actress class on the SAG awards has not matched completely with Oscar since 2009 the place Sandra Bullock emerged victorious for “The Blind Facet.” Since then, there have been many “one-offs” and surprising snubs. Look to Hilary Swank (“Conviction”), Helen Mirren (“Hitchcock” and “Lady in Gold”) and Sarah Silverman (“I Smile Again”) for these inclusions that made many pundits scratch their heads. With the aggressive nature of greatest actress, we must always anticipate a shock miss or two, and Vanessa Kirby (“Items of a Lady”) could also be a type of that sits on the skin of SAG and emerges again for the Oscars. Nicole Beharie (“Miss Juneteenth”) received the Gotham Award for greatest actress on the primary day of SAG voting and should discover room amongst them. Andra Day’s performances have impressed sufficient that it’s on the bubble for an entry. This might cement her standing within the lineup. Frances McDormand (“Nomadland”) and Carey Mulligan (“Promising Younger Lady”) really feel secure with Viola Davis feeling semi-safe for spots, however actually, who is aware of?

BEST PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

  • Sacha Baron Cohen, “The Trial of the Chicago 7” (Netflix)
    ROLE: Abbie Hoffman
  • Daniel Kaluuya, “Judas and the Black Messiah” (Warner Bros.)
    ROLE: Fred Hampton
  • Leslie Odom Jr, “One Evening in Miami” (Amazon Studios)
    ROLE: Sam Cooke
  • Paul Raci, “Sound of Metallic” (Amazon Studios)
    ROLE: Joe
  • Mark Rylance, “The Trial of the Chicago 7” (Netflix)
    ROLE: William Kunstler

ALTERNATE: Brian Dennehy, “Driveways” (FilmRise)

The SAG awards haven’t matched 100% with the Oscars since 2014 when J.Ok. Simmons ran away with the season for “Whiplash.” This yr, I’m not anticipating it to completely match once more, which is why we must always anticipate some variation. Mirroring a little bit of the 2007 awards season the place Tommy Lee Jones popped up alongside fellow forged member Javier Bardem for “No Nation for Outdated Males,” I believe Mark Rylance can present up subsequent to Sacha Baron Cohen for “The Trial of the Chicago 7.” In different SAG behaviors, the massive guild can acknowledge those that have left us up to now yr (i.e., James Garner for “The Pocket book” and James Gandolfini for “Sufficient Mentioned”), that’s why as an alternate alternative, the late Brian Dennehy could discover his strategy to the lineup for his efficiency in “Driveways.”

There are additionally previous nominees like Steve Carell for “Battle of the Sexes” that shook issues up for the contenders, and I wouldn’t rely out Colman Domingo’s work in “Ma Rainey’s Black Backside” to make a play over his co-star Glynn Turman, however at this level, they might be splitting votes with each other.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY A FEMALE ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

  • Maria Bakalova, “Borat Subsequent Moviefilm” (Amazon Studios)
    ROLE: Tutar Sagdiyev
  • Jodie Foster, “The Mauritanian” (STXfilms)
    ROLE: Nancy Hollander
  • Amanda Seyfried, “Mank” (Netflix)
    ROLE: Marion Davies
  • Yuh-Jung Youn, “Minari” (A24)
    ROLE: Soonja
  • Helena Zengel, “Information of the World” (Common Footage)
    ROLE: Johanna Leonberger

ALTERNATE: Olivia Colman, “The Father” (Sony Footage Classics)

The guild matched with the Academy in 2016 when Viola Davis received for her work in “Fences,” however they’ve proven some wildcard choices since then after they don’t — equivalent to Emily Blunt in “A Quiet Place,” Margot Robbie in “Mary Queen of Scots” and Nicole Kidman in “Bombshell.” Regardless of their works’ high quality, they fall right into a consideration interval that doesn’t fairly pan out. Who matches that invoice this yr?

Olivia Cooke’s work in “Sound of Metallic” is well-loved, and should you’re predicting for it to have a giant day, she’ll simply come together with it. Unbiased Spirit nominee Valerie Mahaffey’s flip in “French Exit” would absolutely flip some heads. Nonetheless, I wouldn’t rely her in until you’re additionally foreseeing Michelle Pfeiffer coming in as effectively, and the highway appears to be jammed up in the meanwhile for her. Candice Bergen is a legend of the tv and movie world, so “Let Them All Speak” may very well be within the dialog. With their affinity for younger actors, Helena Zengel may proceed her resurgence for “Information of the World,” and Jodie Foster is a earlier winner of this class for “Nell,” so she may be capable to muscle some power.

The anticipated Olivia Colman miss for “The Father” is one that will match an awards season narrative; nonetheless, in addition they didn’t reward her the yr she received the Oscar for “The Favorite,” and the group likes to cross right (i.e., Judi Dench for “Chocolat” after “Shakespeare in Love”). If Ellen Burstyn misses right here, simply after lacking the Globes, her highway actually narrows, and she or he would want Critics Selection and BAFTA to maintain her alive. The “WTF nominations,” which I name the performances that land for Oscar with none precursor assist, equivalent to Marina de Tavira (“Roma”) and Marcia Homosexual Harden (“Pollock”), are few and much between.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY A STUNT ENSEMBLE

  • “The Midnight Sky” (Netflix)
  • “Mulan” (Walt Disney Footage)
  • “Information of the World” (Common Footage)
  • “Tenet” (Warner Bros.)
  • “Surprise Lady 1984” (Warner Bros.)

ALTERNATE: “The Outdated Guard” (Netflix)

The choices for stunts are at all times unpredictable as they will usually embody movies that you just don’t anticipate, like “The Ballad of Buster Scruggs” and “Nocturnal Animals.” Horses seem to be one thing that may appeal to the voters, which explains the inclusion of “Mulan” and “Information of the World,” and we’ve got to imagine scaling up and throughout buildings are spectacular sufficient to maintain “Tenet” within the combine. The earlier “Surprise Lady” received this class, and the sequel for “WW84” must be enticing. Flipping a coin for “The Midnight Sky” and “The Outdated Guard,” however what do I do know, it’s most likely “Hillbilly Elegy,” and up is the brand new down.

2021 SAG Awards Predictions (Movie)

 

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